Bellinzona vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-3
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
0-1
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
2-0
HT 0-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
0-1
HT 0-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
0-4
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
Bellinzona 5-2 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona ran out comfortable winners over Aarau 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Bellinzona made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Bellinzona had 31% of the ball to Aarau's 69%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.11 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Aarau.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bellinzona and 1.83 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Aarau?
Bellinzona 5-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 37%, draw 32%, Aarau 31%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.