Thun vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
0-3
HT 0-1
Thun
İSV2
3-0
HT 2-0
Thun
İSV2
2-0
HT 1-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-3
HT 0-0
Thun
İSV2
Thun 1-0 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Thun nicked a narrow win over Bellinzona 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Thun had 68% of the ball to Bellinzona's 32%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.32 to 0.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 0.83 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Thun vs Bellinzona?
Thun 1-0 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Thun 60%, draw 22%, Bellinzona 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.