Baden 0-3 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 13 Apr 2024

Baden
0-3 HT 0-1
Sion
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
7%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
17%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
61%
Away Win
62%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baden EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.03/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.80
-30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +128%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
13.9 Crosses 23.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baden
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Sion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.45 xG 1.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 Passes 499
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.02.2024 Sion Sion 4-1 HT 2-0 Baden Baden İSV2
21.10.2023 Baden Baden 0-4 HT 0-1 Sion Sion İSV2
01.09.2023 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-0 Baden Baden İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baden
0-3
AWAY Sion
0.45 xG 2.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
416 Passes 288
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baden vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion cruised past Baden 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sion as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Baden had 57% of the ball to Sion's 43%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.45 to 2.58.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sion led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Baden and 3.00 for Sion.

What was the final score of Baden vs Sion?

Baden 0-3 Sion in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baden vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Baden 17%, draw 21%, Sion 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İSV2 More Switzerland Challenge League
13 Apr 2024
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