Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Aarau
İSV2
2-3
HT 0-2
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
5-2
HT 3-1
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
0-0
HT 0-0
Aarau
İSV2
3-3
HT 1-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
Neuchatel Xamax 3-1 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax got the better of Aarau 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Neuchatel Xamax as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 44% of the ball to Aarau's 56%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.34 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 2.17 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
Neuchatel Xamax 3-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Neuchatel Xamax win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 45%, draw 24%, Aarau 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neuchatel Xamax), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.