Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Aarau
İSV2
2-3
HT 0-2
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
5-2
HT 3-1
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
Neuchatel Xamax 1-3 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau got the better of Neuchatel Xamax 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 50% of the ball to Aarau's 50%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.82 to 2.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 2.00 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
Neuchatel Xamax 1-3 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 32%, draw 27%, Aarau 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.