Stade Ouchy 1-1 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 13 Dec 2024

Stade Ouchy
1-1 HT 1-0
Thun
📅13/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Stade Ouchy vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stade Ouchy v Thun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.96/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.02
+27% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
8.5 Crosses 18.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Stade Ouchy vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Thun
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.50 xG 0.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
291 Passes 201
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
22.04.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
17.02.2023 Thun Thun 1-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
14.10.2022 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
10.09.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-2 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSV2
23.04.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 3-1 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2

Stade Ouchy 1-1 Thun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
1-1
AWAY Thun
1.38 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
236 Passes 281
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy and Thun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 47% of the ball to Thun's 53%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.38 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stade Ouchy and 1.17 for Thun.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Thun?

Stade Ouchy 1-1 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 13/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 35%, draw 29%, Thun 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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