Aarau 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.57/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
17.5 Crosses 17.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
377 Passes 332
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
07.03.2025 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
13.12.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 1-3 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
03.08.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-3 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
12.04.2024 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax 3-1 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
01.03.2024 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 1-0 Neuchatel Xamax Neuchatel Xamax İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-0
AWAY Neuchatel Xamax
2.27 xG 0.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
223 Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau got the better of Neuchatel Xamax 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aarau had 41% of the ball to Neuchatel Xamax's 59%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 2.27 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for Neuchatel Xamax.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Aarau 2-0 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Neuchatel Xamax?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aarau 49%, draw 25%, Neuchatel Xamax 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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