Stade Ouchy 2-2 Bellinzona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.45
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
64%
+5.5pp
15%
Draw
20%
-4.4pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 19%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.54/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.73
-25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.4 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Ouchy
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bellinzona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.11 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
362 Passes 193
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.05.2025 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
15.02.2025 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
19.10.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
24.09.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
05.03.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Ouchy
2-2
AWAY Bellinzona
2.41 xG 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
256 Passes 134
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 4
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stade Ouchy vs Bellinzona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy and Bellinzona shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Stade Ouchy at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Stade Ouchy had 60% of the ball to Bellinzona's 40%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 2.41 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stade Ouchy and 0.67 for Bellinzona.

What was the final score of Stade Ouchy vs Bellinzona?

Stade Ouchy 2-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Ouchy vs Bellinzona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Stade Ouchy 70%, draw 15%, Bellinzona 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stade Ouchy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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