Bellinzona 0-1 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
18%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.4pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.05/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/0.78
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
12.5 Crosses 22.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.47 xG 1.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
129 Passes 382
60% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
24.09.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 2-1 HT 1-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
27.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 6-0 HT 3-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
05.03.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
05.11.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 2-1 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
30.07.2022 Bellinzona Bellinzona 1-4 HT 1-2 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-1
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.01 xG 1.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
246 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Ouchy edged past Bellinzona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Stade Ouchy found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bellinzona had 45% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 55%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.01 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Ouchy led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bellinzona and 2.50 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy?

Bellinzona 0-1 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland Challenge League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Ouchy win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 31%, draw 33%, Stade Ouchy 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Ouchy), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stade Ouchy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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