Wil 1900 2-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 27% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.46/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.45
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.1 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wil 1900
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
374 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 3-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
10.08.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-3 HT 0-2 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
14.04.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
01.03.2024 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
15.12.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-2 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
26.09.2023 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 2-0 HT 1-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wil 1900
2-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
0.76 xG 0.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
488 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wil 1900 vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 squeezed past Stade Nyonnais 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wil 1900 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wil 1900 had 56% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 44%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.76 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Nyonnais led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wil 1900 and 1.83 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Wil 1900 vs Stade Nyonnais?

Wil 1900 2-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wil 1900 vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wil 1900 44%, draw 25%, Stade Nyonnais 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wil 1900), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✓ Over 2.5
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