Nations 0-1 Hearts of Oak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
22%
2/1
17%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nations EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.34/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.07
+9% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nations
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hearts of Oak
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 1-0 HT 0-0 Nations GANA
03.04.2025 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak 0-1 Nations GANA
29.09.2024 Nations 0-0 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA
POST-MATCH Nations vs Hearts of Oak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts of Oak squeezed past Nations 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Nations at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nations and 0.33 for Hearts of Oak.

What was the final score of Nations vs Hearts of Oak?

Nations 0-1 Hearts of Oak in the Gana - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nations vs Hearts of Oak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nations win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nations 53%, draw 32%, Hearts of Oak 15%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nations) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nations) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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