Samatex 3-1 Basake Holy Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.9pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samatex EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Basake Holy Stars EU Bookmakers 15%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.00/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.55
-33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samatex
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Basake Holy Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2025 Basake Holy Stars 2-0 HT 2-0 Samatex GANA
24.11.2024 Basake Holy Stars 1-0 Samatex GANA
POST-MATCH Samatex vs Basake Holy Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samatex saw off Basake Holy Stars 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Samatex as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basake Holy Stars led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Samatex and 1.50 for Basake Holy Stars.

What was the final score of Samatex vs Basake Holy Stars?

Samatex 3-1 Basake Holy Stars in the Gana - Premier League on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samatex vs Basake Holy Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samatex win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Samatex 60%, draw 20%, Basake Holy Stars 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samatex) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samatex) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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