Gimhae City 0-1 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.65
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
64%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.91
Over 2.5
62%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.85
No
42%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.24
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
64%
Away Win
58%
+6.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+10.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.1pp
42%
BTTS No
50%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 62%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.02
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 13.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimhae City
0-1
AWAY Busan I Park
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park edged past Gimhae City 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimhae City had 46% of the ball to Busan I Park's 54%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?

Gimhae City 0-1 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 17%, draw 19%, Busan I Park 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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