Cheonan City 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +18%
0.95/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.71
-21% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
13.8 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
246 Passes 417
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
14.06.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
09.03.2025 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
24.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
02.06.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-0
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 Passes 295
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City edged past Asan Mugunghwa 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 45% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 55%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cheonan City and 1.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Cheonan City 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 28%, draw 22%, Asan Mugunghwa 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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