Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.02/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.68
-35% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Cheonan City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
20.05.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
18.03.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-2
AWAY Cheonan City
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Cheonan City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 49% of the ball to Cheonan City's 51%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.00 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheonan City?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 44%, draw 28%, Cheonan City 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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