Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
10%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +25%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.35
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
Crosses 15.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
2-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings squeezed past Gimpo Citizen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suwon Bluewings as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 50% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 50%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Gimpo Citizen?

Suwon Bluewings 2-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 47%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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