Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 Cheonan City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.68
No
58%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 31% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.6pp
58%
BTTS No
44%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.14/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.53
-25% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.5 Crosses 23.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Cheonan City
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.06.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.04.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-2 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
28.10.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
20.05.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
18.03.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-0
AWAY Cheonan City
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
508 Passes 139
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
31 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheonan City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa saw off Cheonan City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 71% of the ball to Cheonan City's 29%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.40 for Cheonan City.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheonan City?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 Cheonan City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Cheonan City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 43%, draw 25%, Cheonan City 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
24 Sep 2024
13:30 Seoul E-Land vs Anyang Analysis →
13:30 Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju FC Analysis →