JEF United (K) 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
37%
Away Win
44%
-7.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.11
+63% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2025 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
08.03.2025 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
02.11.2024 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
18.04.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
0-1
AWAY Cerezo Osaka (K)
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) edged past JEF United (K) 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Cerezo Osaka (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 59% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka (K)'s 41%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cerezo Osaka (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for JEF United (K) and 1.50 for Cerezo Osaka (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

JEF United (K) 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs Cerezo Osaka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 31%, draw 33%, Cerezo Osaka (K) 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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