Penzügyör 1-3 Kaposvari Rakoczi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
11%
+2.3pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
67%
Away Win
70%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+6.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penzügyör EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaposvari Rakoczi EU Bookmakers 75%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.48/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.59/0.50
+45% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +104%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
248 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penzügyör
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kaposvari Rakoczi
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.10.2025 Kaposvari Rakoczi Kaposvari Rakoczi 2-3 HT 2-1 Penzügyör MAC3
POST-MATCH Penzügyör vs Kaposvari Rakoczi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaposvari Rakoczi saw off Penzügyör 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kaposvari Rakoczi as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Penzügyör vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

Penzügyör 1-3 Kaposvari Rakoczi in the Hungary - NB III on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penzügyör vs Kaposvari Rakoczi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kaposvari Rakoczi win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Penzügyör 13%, draw 20%, Kaposvari Rakoczi 67%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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