Sandefjord 1-0 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 3 May 2026

📅03/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.38
Over
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
29%
4.78
2-3
37%
1.91
4-5
24%
2.68
6+
10%
6.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.41
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
18%
4.8
X/2
12%
8.12
X/X
12%
5.89
2/1
6%
20.2
2/2
11%
5.43
2/X
7%
13.6
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Sandefjord The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.56 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.30
1.48 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.56
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.0 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aalesund
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.45 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
284 Passes 350
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 0-3 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
30.04.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-0 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
23.10.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.07.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
02.12.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
15.07.2020 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-0
AWAY Aalesund
2.46 xG 0.93
63% Ball Possession 37%
27 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
459 Passes 225
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
43 Box Touches 24
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Sandefjord vs Aalesund
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sandefjord came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Aalesund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 52% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.50, about 67%.

On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in Sandefjord's favour, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 2.46 to 0.93 — on chances created, Sandefjord won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Sandefjord against 0.50 for Aalesund.

Sandefjord vs Aalesund Result & Final Score

Sandefjord 1-0 Aalesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sandefjord vs Aalesund Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 47%, draw 24%, Aalesund 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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