Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lilleström v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lilleström 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Lilleström dismantled Sarpsborg 08 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (60%) came in, both teams to score (61%) didn't.
Under the surface, Lilleström had 49% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 51%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.36 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lilleström and 1.50 for Sarpsborg 08.
Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08 Result & Final Score
Lilleström 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 03/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 55%, draw 22%, Sarpsborg 08 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.