Lilleström 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.47
2-3 Goals
36%
2.01
4-5 Goals
27%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.32
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
24%
4.57
X/2
7%
8.46
X/X
8%
6.17
2/1
8%
20.2
2/2
10%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.56/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.52
-2% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.7 Crosses 17.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
420 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
17.09.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 3-1 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
16.05.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-2 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
31.07.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
16.05.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
02.10.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
2-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.81 xG 0.75
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
472 Passes 181
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
47 Box Touches 11
51 Crosses 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lilleström and Sarpsborg 08 shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28 Jul 2024. Half-time: 0-2.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lilleström had 70% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 30%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.81 to 0.75.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lilleström and 1.33 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08?

Lilleström 2-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 53%, draw 22%, Sarpsborg 08 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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