Sandefjord 4-3 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jul 2024

Sandefjord
4-3 HT 3-1
Haugesund
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Sandefjord vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.75
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
14%
4.79
X/2
16%
7.13
X/X
13%
5.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.81
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandefjord v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +17%
1.47/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.44
+23% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.5 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sandefjord vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.10 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
288 Passes 304
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.05.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.06.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
13.11.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 0-2 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
03.04.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-3 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
28.11.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR

Sandefjord 4-3 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
4-3
AWAY Haugesund
3.13 xG 2.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
329 Passes 377
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord nicked a narrow win over Haugesund 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Sandefjord made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sandefjord had 47% of the ball to Haugesund's 53%, shots finished 23-19, expected goals 3.13 to 2.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sandefjord and 1.50 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Haugesund?

Sandefjord 4-3 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 38%, draw 26%, Haugesund 36%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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