Viking 1-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 28 Jul 2024

Viking
1-0 HT 0-0
Molde
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.93
X/2
14%
5.75
X/X
7%
5.53
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
10%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +26%
1.68/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.14
+30% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
18.8 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Molde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.60 xG 2.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
402 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Molde Molde 2-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
01.10.2023 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
04.06.2023 Viking Viking 3-4 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR
30.10.2022 Viking Viking 1-4 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
07.05.2022 Molde Molde 3-4 HT 3-1 Viking Viking NOR
26.09.2021 Molde Molde 2-2 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
1-0
AWAY Molde
0.82 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
254 Passes 321
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Viking vs Molde
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Viking edged past Molde 1-0 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28 Jul 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Viking had 45% of the ball to Molde's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.82 to 1.32.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viking and 3.17 for Molde.

What was the final score of Viking vs Molde?

Viking 1-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Viking 36%, draw 23%, Molde 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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