Molde 2-2 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Jun 2024

Molde
2-2 HT 1-1
Viking
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Molde vs Viking Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.85
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
10%
4.55
X/2
7%
9.6
X/X
9%
6.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.05
2/2
13%
6.08
2/X
12%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Viking — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
2.12/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.44
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.4 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Molde vs Viking Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Viking
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.06 xG 1.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
354 Passes 392
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
04.06.2023 Viking Viking 3-4 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR
30.10.2022 Viking Viking 1-4 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
07.05.2022 Molde Molde 3-4 HT 3-1 Viking Viking NOR
26.09.2021 Molde Molde 2-2 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
15.08.2021 Viking Viking 3-2 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR

Molde 2-2 Viking — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
2-2
AWAY Viking
1.33 xG 0.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
406 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Molde vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde and Viking shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Molde had 56% of the ball to Viking's 44%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.33 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Molde and 2.17 for Viking.

What was the final score of Molde vs Viking?

Molde 2-2 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Molde 49%, draw 26%, Viking 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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