Kristiansund BK 3-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
31%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.45
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
15%
5.94
X/2
10%
5.99
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
19%
3.49
2/X
10%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.64/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
+21% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.3 Crosses 20.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kristiansund BK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 1-2 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
10.04.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-3 HT 0-3 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
24.10.2021 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-3 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
27.05.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
02.12.2020 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
22.08.2020 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 4-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kristiansund BK
3-1
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
3.87 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
345 Passes 393
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK got the better of Sarpsborg 08 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kristiansund BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kristiansund BK had 48% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 52%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 3.87 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kristiansund BK and 1.67 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08?

Kristiansund BK 3-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kristiansund BK vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kristiansund BK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kristiansund BK 39%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kristiansund BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kristiansund BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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