KFUM Oslo 3-3 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
12%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.04
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
20%
4.96
X/2
18%
6.79
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
4%
26.5
2/2
10%
4.77
2/X
9%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
Crosses 17.4
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
22.09.2019 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 3-3 HT 1-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
31.03.2019 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 0-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
14.08.2016 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
29.06.2016 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
3-3
AWAY Sandefjord
3.18 xG 0.74
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
452 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
49 Box Touches 6
52 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo and Sandefjord couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KFUM Oslo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 59% of the ball to Sandefjord's 41%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.18 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KFUM Oslo and 2.25 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Sandefjord?

KFUM Oslo 3-3 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 43%, draw 25%, Sandefjord 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KFUM Oslo)
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