Haugesund 2-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.96
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.84
X/2
12%
6.66
X/X
11%
4.83
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
14%
4.64
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.50
+11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
21.7 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
296 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
11.06.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 3-2 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
13.11.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 0-2 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
03.04.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-3 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
28.11.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
21.07.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-1 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
2-1
AWAY Sandefjord
1.07 xG 2.28
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
343 Passes 356
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund edged past Sandefjord 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Haugesund as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Haugesund had 50% of the ball to Sandefjord's 50%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.07 to 2.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sandefjord.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Haugesund and 1.67 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Sandefjord?

Haugesund 2-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 42%, draw 25%, Sandefjord 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haugesund), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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