Odds BK 2-1 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
14%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
16%
6.08
X/2
17%
5.61
X/X
14%
5.14
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.36
2/X
6%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odds BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.35/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.01
+18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.5 Crosses 24.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odds BK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lilleström
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.06 xG 1.44
49% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
368 Passes 368
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 4-4 HT 1-3 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
12.05.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
30.10.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 0-2 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
17.07.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
18.09.2021 Odds BK Odds BK 2-3 HT 2-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
27.05.2021 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 1-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odds BK
2-1
AWAY Lilleström
1.74 xG 1.65
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
286 Passes 555
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 52
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odds BK vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odds BK edged past Lilleström 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Odds BK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Odds BK had 35% of the ball to Lilleström's 65%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.74 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Odds BK and 1.83 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of Odds BK vs Lilleström?

Odds BK 2-1 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odds BK vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Odds BK 37%, draw 25%, Lilleström 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lilleström) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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