Sarpsborg 08 1-3 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.88
6+ Goals
13%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
9%
6.51
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
16%
4.18
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.40/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.41
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
23.8 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
2.12 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
364 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
09.07.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 5-2 HT 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
07.08.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 3-1 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
18.06.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 5-1 HT 4-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
25.09.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 5-0 HT 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
14.08.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-3
AWAY Stromsgodset
1.83 xG 2.13
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
486 Passes 244
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
40 Box Touches 29
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset saw off Sarpsborg 08 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 64% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 36%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.83 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.67 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset?

Sarpsborg 08 1-3 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 42%, draw 24%, Stromsgodset 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
26 May 2024
18:00 Odds BK vs Lilleström Analysis →
18:00 Haugesund vs Sandefjord Analysis →
18:00 Viking vs HamKam Analysis →
20:15 Brann vs Molde Analysis →