Brann 1-3 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 26 May 2024

Brann
1-3 HT 1-0
Molde
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Brann vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
14%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
12%
4.3
X/2
10%
8.96
X/X
12%
5.8
2/1
8%
20.95
2/2
11%
6.16
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brann v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.86/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.99
-10% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.8 Crosses 12.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Brann vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Molde
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 2.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
354 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.03.2024 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann HAZ
21.10.2023 Brann Brann 3-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.07.2023 Molde Molde 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
28.11.2021 Brann Brann 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
16.05.2021 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 3-0 Brann Brann NOR
04.10.2020 Brann Brann 1-2 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR

Brann 1-3 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
1-3
AWAY Molde
1.41 xG 1.38
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
359 Passes 140
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
41 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde saw off Brann 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brann had 66% of the ball to Molde's 34%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.41 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brann and 2.00 for Molde.

What was the final score of Brann vs Molde?

Brann 1-3 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Brann 48%, draw 24%, Molde 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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