Molde 1-0 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Mar 2024

Molde
1-0 HT 1-0
Brann
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Molde vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.4pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Molde v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 40%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
4.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/1.00
+150% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Molde vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brann
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.39 xG 1.56
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
334 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Brann Brann 3-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
09.07.2023 Molde Molde 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
28.11.2021 Brann Brann 0-1 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
16.05.2021 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 3-0 Brann Brann NOR
04.10.2020 Brann Brann 1-2 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
10.08.2020 Molde Molde 1-2 HT 1-1 Brann Brann NOR
POST-MATCH Molde vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde squeezed past Brann 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Molde found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Molde and 1.00 for Brann.

What was the final score of Molde vs Brann?

Molde 1-0 Brann in the Friendlies on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Molde 37%, draw 26%, Brann 37%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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