Stromsgodset 0-3 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 19 Mar 2024

Stromsgodset
0-3 HT 0-1
Sandefjord
📅19/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2023/2024

Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 27% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Sandefjord — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.92/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.26
+5% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 0.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
294 Passes 329
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
16.05.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
23.04.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 0-5 HT 0-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.10.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.06.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 4-0 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord ran out comfortable winners over Stromsgodset 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.83 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord?

Stromsgodset 0-3 Sandefjord in the Friendlies on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 47%, draw 26%, Sandefjord 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stromsgodset) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
19 Mar 2024
16:30 Molde vs Brann Analysis →