Sarpsborg 08 vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Lilleström
NOR
1-2
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
0-2
HT 0-0
Lilleström
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
2-1
HT 1-0
Lilleström
NOR
2-0
HT 0-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 nicked a narrow win over Lilleström 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 41% of the ball to Lilleström's 59%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.13 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Lilleström.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Lilleström?
Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 48%, draw 24%, Lilleström 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.