Odds BK 0-2 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.49 — our 26% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.72
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
14%
6.66
X/2
22%
4.83
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
11%
3.0
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odds BK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.53/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.85
+15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odds BK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
02.05.2018 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-3 HT 0-2 Odds BK Odds BK NOK
02.11.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 4-2 HT 3-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
22.04.2012 Odds BK Odds BK 1-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
11.09.2011 Odds BK Odds BK 2-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
22.06.2011 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOK
19.06.2011 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odds BK
0-2
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.00 xG 1.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
418 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Odds BK vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad beat Odds BK 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Odds BK had 59% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 41%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.00 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odds BK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Odds BK and 1.50 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Odds BK vs Fredrikstad?

Odds BK 0-2 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odds BK vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Odds BK 33%, draw 25%, Fredrikstad 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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