Viking 2-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1.78
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.65
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
9%
13.2
X/X
13%
6.36
2/1
8%
21.45
2/2
11%
9.9
2/X
8%
17.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
63%
-16.1pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
2.02/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.59
+0% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
27.2 Crosses 12.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tromsö
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
389 Passes 380
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Viking Viking 3-4 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.04.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
18.09.2022 Viking Viking 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
22.05.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
12.12.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
16.05.2021 Viking Viking 0-1 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
2-1
AWAY Tromsö
2.28 xG 0.71
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
467 Passes 253
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Tromsö 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Viking had 62% of the ball to Tromsö's 38%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.28 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viking's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viking and 1.50 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Viking vs Tromsö?

Viking 2-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Viking 47%, draw 27%, Tromsö 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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