Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.48
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.3
X/1
26%
3.56
X/2
5%
20.9
X/X
8%
8.32
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
6%
15.55
2/X
6%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
2.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.14
+21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
444 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
39.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.5 Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Stromsgodset
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.54 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
478 Passes 293
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
39 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
25.06.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-0 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
13.11.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-4 HT 1-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
25.05.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 2-1 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.10.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 0-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
16.06.2021 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 7-2 HT 4-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt squeezed past Stromsgodset 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.50 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Stromsgodset?

Bodo/Glimt 1-0 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 64%, draw 21%, Stromsgodset 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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