Sandefjord 3-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 May 2024

Sandefjord
3-1 HT 0-1
Molde
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Sandefjord vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.19
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
11%
9.56
X/2
17%
4.07
X/X
8%
5.2
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.19
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandefjord v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 58%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
0.86/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.18
+6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
15.9 Crosses 16.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sandefjord vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Molde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.99 xG 2.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
322 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 40
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
29.05.2023 Molde Molde 5-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
06.11.2022 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
24.07.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-3 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
07.11.2021 Molde Molde 3-1 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.06.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-3 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR

Sandefjord 3-1 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
3-1
AWAY Molde
2.07 xG 0.92
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
384 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord saw off Molde 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sandefjord had 53% of the ball to Molde's 47%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.07 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sandefjord and 3.00 for Molde.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Molde?

Sandefjord 3-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 28%, draw 23%, Molde 49%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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