Haugesund 0-1 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.73
6+ Goals
12%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.4
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
15%
5.12
X/2
14%
5.93
X/X
8%
4.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.18
2/X
10%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.6 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
0-1
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.14 xG 0.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
453 Passes 359
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo nicked a narrow win over Haugesund 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Haugesund at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haugesund had 55% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 45%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.14 to 0.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Haugesund.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs KFUM Oslo?

Haugesund 0-1 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 41%, draw 27%, KFUM Oslo 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Haugesund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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