Torpedo BelAZ II 2-1 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.21
Over 2.5
67%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
54%
Away Win
59%
-4.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
41%
-8.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
59%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo BelAZ II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 62%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.00/8.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.68
-1% / -74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -40%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo BelAZ II
2-1
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo BelAZ II vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo BelAZ II nicked a narrow win over Dnepr Rogachev 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dnepr Rogachev at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torpedo BelAZ II had 44% of the ball to Dnepr Rogachev's 56%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of Torpedo BelAZ II vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Torpedo BelAZ II 2-1 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo BelAZ II vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Torpedo BelAZ II 21%, draw 24%, Dnepr Rogachev 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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