Fortaleza vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fortaleza v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Fortaleza vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Fortaleza
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
1-1
HT 0-1
Fortaleza
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
3-0
HT 2-0
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
2-1
HT 2-0
Fortaleza
BR1
Fortaleza 1-0 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Fortaleza squeezed past Atletico Paranaense 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fortaleza had 52% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 48%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.27 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortaleza and 0.67 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Fortaleza vs Atletico Paranaense?
Fortaleza 1-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza 42%, draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.