Valour 2-0 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒00:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.52
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.90/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.80
-30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
21.5 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Vancouver FC
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
375 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour CAPL
21.09.2023 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
07.08.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
25.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC KAPL
29.05.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
2-0
AWAY Vancouver FC
1.31 xG 1.20
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
269 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valour vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour saw off Vancouver FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valour as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Valour had 42% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 58%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.31 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Valour and 1.00 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Valour vs Vancouver FC?

Valour 2-0 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valour win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valour 42%, draw 26%, Vancouver FC 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valour), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valour) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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