CS Constantine 1-1 USM Alger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Alger EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.96/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.05
+26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Constantine
3W-2D-1L
AWAY USM Alger
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.01.2024 USM Alger USM Alger 1-2 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
15.07.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 3-0 HT 2-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
24.12.2022 USM Alger USM Alger 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
21.01.2022 CS Constantine CS Constantine 1-1 HT 0-1 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
30.05.2021 USM Alger USM Alger 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
23.12.2020 CS Constantine CS Constantine 2-1 HT 1-0 USM Alger USM Alger CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Constantine
1-1
AWAY USM Alger
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CS Constantine vs USM Alger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Constantine and USM Alger couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was CS Constantine at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, CS Constantine had 53% of the ball to USM Alger's 47%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CS Constantine had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CS Constantine and 0.83 for USM Alger.

What was the final score of CS Constantine vs USM Alger?

CS Constantine 1-1 USM Alger in the Algeria - 1st Division on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Constantine vs USM Alger?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Constantine win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CS Constantine 49%, draw 25%, USM Alger 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CS Constantine), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Constantine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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