Mushuc Runa 1-0 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 3 Jun 2024

Mushuc Runa
1-0 HT 0-0
Barcelona SC
📅03/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
40%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.4pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.5pp
41%
Away Win
58%
-17.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mushuc Runa v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.94/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.71
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -12%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.6 Crosses 19.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mushuc Runa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.05 xG 2.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
207 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
08.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.03.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.10.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
17.04.2021 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 2-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1

Mushuc Runa 1-0 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mushuc Runa
1-0
AWAY Barcelona SC
2.17 xG 0.84
38% Ball Possession 62%
22 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
130 Passes 254
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mushuc Runa nicked a narrow win over Barcelona SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Mushuc Runa had 38% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 62%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 2.17 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mushuc Runa's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mushuc Runa and 2.33 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC?

Mushuc Runa 1-0 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mushuc Runa 30%, draw 30%, Barcelona SC 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Under 2.5
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