Danubio 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
0.89/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.63
-27% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.11.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
25.03.2023 Danubio Danubio 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
07.08.2022 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
15.02.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 1-1 Danubio Danubio URU
23.03.2021 Danubio Danubio 2-2 HT 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
06.10.2020 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio and Deportivo Maldonado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Danubio had 40% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 60%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Danubio had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Danubio and 0.67 for Deportivo Maldonado.

What was the final score of Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Danubio 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Danubio 40%, draw 28%, Deportivo Maldonado 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
3 Jun 2024
18:30 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Analysis →