Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-3 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Jun 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0-3 HT 0-0
Cerro
📅03/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Cerro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.78/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.44
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cerro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
08.07.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
24.04.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
14.02.2021 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
23.08.2020 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
27.11.2019 Cerro Cerro 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-3 Cerro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0-3
AWAY Cerro
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro ran out comfortable winners over Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 66% of the ball to Cerro's 34%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.50 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-3 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 47%, draw 26%, Cerro 27%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5
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