İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-0 Slovenya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovenya (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Slovenya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.06 xG 1.86
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
14 Corners 2
428 Passes 163
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2025 Slovenya (K) Slovenya (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)
1-0
AWAY Slovenya (K)
2.19 xG 0.24
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
241 Passes 141
71% Pass Accuracy 62%
42 Box Touches 7
38 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Slovenya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) edged past Slovenya (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) had 61% of the ball to Slovenya (K)'s 39%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.19 to 0.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)'s control.

What was the final score of İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 1-0 Slovenya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) vs Slovenya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K) 51%, draw 22%, Slovenya (K) 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İrlanda Cumhuriyeti (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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