Kazakistan (K) 1-3 Lüksemburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kazakistan (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lüksemburg (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/4.00
-100% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -82%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kazakistan (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lüksemburg (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Lüksemburg (K) Lüksemburg (K) 2-2 HT 0-2 Kazakistan (K) Kazakistan (K) AVKUL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kazakistan (K)
1-3
AWAY Lüksemburg (K)
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kazakistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lüksemburg (K) beat Kazakistan (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lüksemburg (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kazakistan (K) had 31% of the ball to Lüksemburg (K)'s 69%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Kazakistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Kazakistan (K) 1-3 Lüksemburg (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kazakistan (K) vs Lüksemburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kazakistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kazakistan (K) 39%, draw 21%, Lüksemburg (K) 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/21/39) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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