Paysandu 0-1 Criciuma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.48
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paysandu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Criciuma EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -14%
1.53/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.34
-12% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
26.9 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paysandu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Criciuma
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.19 xG 0.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
226 Passes 302
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2021 Paysandu Paysandu 0-1 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BRE3
04.10.2021 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
22.09.2018 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
06.06.2018 Criciuma Criciuma 4-1 HT 2-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
28.10.2017 Paysandu Paysandu 1-0 HT 1-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
12.07.2017 Criciuma Criciuma 1-1 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paysandu
0-1
AWAY Criciuma
1.33 xG 0.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
260 Passes 245
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 11
33 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Paysandu vs Criciuma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Criciuma squeezed past Paysandu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Paysandu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Paysandu had 54% of the ball to Criciuma's 46%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.33 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Paysandu.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Criciuma led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paysandu and 1.17 for Criciuma.

What was the final score of Paysandu vs Criciuma?

Paysandu 0-1 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Criciuma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 43%, draw 29%, Criciuma 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paysandu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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