Chapecoense 4-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 3 Jun 2025

📅03/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.22/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.09
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.5 Crosses 12.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Amazonas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.64 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
266 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-0 HT 0-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
14.06.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 0-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
4-0
AWAY Amazonas
2.52 xG 0.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
274 Passes 392
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chapecoense swept aside Amazonas 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chapecoense as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Chapecoense had 43% of the ball to Amazonas's 57%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.52 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chapecoense and 0.00 for Amazonas.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Amazonas?

Chapecoense 4-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 03/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chapecoense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 41%, draw 30%, Amazonas 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chapecoense), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chapecoense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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